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Survey reveals majority of Germans and French perceive a significant risk of conflict with Russia.

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As Europe grapples with escalating security concerns amid rising geopolitical tensions, recent polling reveals a heightened sense of anxiety among its citizens regarding the potential for conflict. A survey conducted by French pollster Cluster17 indicates that a significant majority in multiple European nations, including Germany and France, perceive a substantial risk of war with Russia, reflecting broader anxieties ignited by the ongoing Ukraine crisis and shifts in military policy throughout the continent. This growing apprehension is reshaping public sentiment and governmental strategies, with implications reaching far beyond national borders.

A majority of citizens in Germany, France, the Netherlands, and several other European Union member states express heightened concerns about the potential for conflict with Russia, according to a recent survey conducted by the French polling organization Cluster17. Published in Le Grand Continent, the poll indicates that just over half of respondents from nine European countries believe the risk of war to be “high” or “very high.”

Poland, a nation sharing a border with Russia and a former member of the Soviet Union, exhibited the most significant anxiety. A striking 77 percent of Polish respondents indicated that they perceive a high risk of conflict. Similarly, 59 percent of participants in Belgium and the Netherlands echoed these fears, while approximately half of the citizens in Germany, France, and Spain shared similar sentiments. In contrast, Italians were the least apprehensive, with only 34 percent viewing a risk of war, followed closely by respondents from Portugal and Croatia.

The survey also delved into perspectives on U.S. leadership, revealing that just under half of Europeans considered President Donald Trump an “enemy of Europe,” a figure that has increased by four points since September. This sentiment captures the growing unease among European citizens regarding American political dynamics, particularly in the context of external threats.

Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the security landscape in Europe has become a pressing concern for its leaders. In response to these anxieties, France announced plans to reintroduce military service on a voluntary basis, a significant policy shift since its abolition in 1996. French President Emmanuel Macron has framed this decision as a necessary measure against perceived Russian aggression, cautioning that any sign of weakness could embolden Moscow.

In a disturbing indication of rising tensions, Russian President Vladimir Putin recently assured Europe that Russia is “ready” for conflict, underscoring the precariousness of the current geopolitical climate. As fears of war proliferate across Europe, the implications for regional stability and international relations remain profound, necessitating a vigilant approach from leaders and citizens alike.

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